Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 84060.011732 88726.064768 93390.952341 98401.315215 103627.101276 108913.498767 114662.065317
2025-02-16 75717.159410 82814.261171 90109.666516 98159.138333 106781.077946 115728.728227 125705.884355
2025-02-23 70240.797762 79010.978264 88224.916044 98605.599308 109953.659443 121960.797855 135604.019360
2025-03-02 65793.610887 75783.551520 86473.023876 98727.203254 112350.779399 126995.942963 143893.032258
2025-03-09 62949.561432 74008.863960 86030.701660 100018.416857 115792.830096 132977.971511 153060.785505
2025-03-16 59533.039194 71338.373800 84359.990175 99719.305262 117267.935603 136619.098238 159495.774902
2025-03-23 57638.592061 70248.847560 84339.582094 101161.132476 120601.247641 142265.677520 168134.592685
2025-03-30 55656.475865 68927.306968 83937.967324 102060.651075 123228.353055 147049.814683 175757.983313
2025-04-06 53454.201909 67228.690581 82992.489176 102230.349658 124928.945838 150710.670961 182052.476459
2025-04-13 51327.247082 65516.615638 81938.205234 102185.279828 126304.699445 153940.491489 187811.813710
2025-04-20 50219.163732 64966.661567 82207.597259 103661.418606 129438.278628 159203.631255 195950.345603
2025-04-27 49186.857478 64452.975554 82473.429567 105094.418781 132495.139913 164368.612631 203987.057004
2025-05-04 47783.495838 63449.669505 82127.326081 105784.850060 134679.800000 168543.430987 210927.822061
2025-05-11 46109.719015 62051.214637 81248.324354 105783.507477 135999.342808 171674.813958 216633.911619
2025-05-18 44804.746147 61065.148209 80832.744616 106312.201887 137935.633652 175533.240046 223218.395637
2025-05-25 43394.496210 59892.639609 80138.281716 106452.975782 139363.139250 178757.399897 229033.739568
2025-06-01 42649.390054 59541.780297 80448.247222 107827.763634 142305.468334 183828.454639 237117.857540
2025-06-08 41171.885284 58190.939772 79447.228533 107510.397810 143108.287589 186258.736824 241964.694857
2025-06-15 40603.295741 58006.244302 79915.124048 109042.749136 146224.837176 191547.382692 250354.761949
2025-06-22 39814.485664 57501.170959 79946.616638 109998.570973 148604.634217 195926.308230 257639.448706
2025-06-29 38733.493875 56571.419717 79396.650637 110178.881169 149980.498380 199046.247008 263364.611430
2025-07-06 37608.818774 55548.114160 78692.886861 110130.995774 151042.578853 201760.921571 268583.947295
2025-07-13 37199.600180 55480.160249 79233.796026 111699.260827 154181.606258 207101.566620 277128.612823